My final thoughts as this election day gets underway:
John McCain- a good and decent man, whose policy proposals are just ill-suited for this time in our history.
Sarah Palin- a political lightweight with very little knowledge of national or international affairs, who is a true liability without her cue cards and talking points. A 2012 candidacy? A legion of Republicans with greater experience and more to offer will line up around the block for a chance to clean her clock in the primaries. You want to be President? A word of advice-study, study, STUDY!
Joe Biden- a fine public servant with the knowledge and experience to step in as President should the need arise. A man of middle-class roots who never forgot where he came from. A man who will be a fine Vice-President.
Barack Obama- an example of one of those rare talents, a rare leader who comes along in history only every so often to steer the ship of state away from the rocks of despair, dissent, and disarray. He has already changed American History, win or lose.
My prediction- Senator Barack Obama and Senator Joe Biden will be the next President and Vice-President of the United States of America.
Showing posts with label Election 2008. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election 2008. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
An Election Where Anything Is Possible
As the voters make their voices heard today, it is important to keep in mind past trends:
1) Five states in the deep South voted for Barry Goldwater, the conservative Republican in 1964, the first time they had voted Republican since Reconstruction.
Those states were Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina. In 1968, those five voted for third party candidate George Wallace, and in 1972, they voted for Richard Nixon. In 1976, they voted for Democrat Jimmy Carter of Georgia.
Since then, however, only two of those five have voted Democratic at the presidential level-Georgia for Bill Clinton in 1992, and Louisiana for Bill Clinton in both 1992 and 1996.
2) Mississippi hasn't elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in the last 61 years.
That man was John Stennis, in 1947. Democratic Gov. Ronnie Musgrove has a chance of unseating the Republican Senate incumbent, Roger Wicker, albeit a slim chance.
3) Seven states with 60 electoral votes have voted Democratic only once since 1964: Alabama, Arizona, Colorado, Mississippi, Montana, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Barack Obama has a chance to carry either Colorado, North Carolina, or both. That would be a political shockwave.
4) Eleven states with 63 electoral votes have not voted Democratic at all since 1964: Alaska, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming. As this election begins, Barack Obama is currently competitive in both Virginia and Indiana, which Pres. Bush carried in 2004 by margins of 8.2 and 20.7 percentage points, respectively.
Clearly, in this election season, the only guarantee is that nothing is guaranteed.
1) Five states in the deep South voted for Barry Goldwater, the conservative Republican in 1964, the first time they had voted Republican since Reconstruction.
Those states were Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina. In 1968, those five voted for third party candidate George Wallace, and in 1972, they voted for Richard Nixon. In 1976, they voted for Democrat Jimmy Carter of Georgia.
Since then, however, only two of those five have voted Democratic at the presidential level-Georgia for Bill Clinton in 1992, and Louisiana for Bill Clinton in both 1992 and 1996.
2) Mississippi hasn't elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in the last 61 years.
That man was John Stennis, in 1947. Democratic Gov. Ronnie Musgrove has a chance of unseating the Republican Senate incumbent, Roger Wicker, albeit a slim chance.
3) Seven states with 60 electoral votes have voted Democratic only once since 1964: Alabama, Arizona, Colorado, Mississippi, Montana, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Barack Obama has a chance to carry either Colorado, North Carolina, or both. That would be a political shockwave.
4) Eleven states with 63 electoral votes have not voted Democratic at all since 1964: Alaska, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming. As this election begins, Barack Obama is currently competitive in both Virginia and Indiana, which Pres. Bush carried in 2004 by margins of 8.2 and 20.7 percentage points, respectively.
Clearly, in this election season, the only guarantee is that nothing is guaranteed.
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